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LESSONS

Inflation, explained

Inflation is money losing purchasing power. Even the official target compounds into most of your savings over a working life.

5 MIN READ
Bars showing 100 dollars of purchasing power falling to about 74, 55, 41 and 31 over 10, 20, 30 and 40 years at 3 percent inflation.
LEVEL · Beginner
IN THIS LESSON · 4 OF 8
BY THE END YOU WILL BE ABLE TO ANSWER
  • Which definition of inflation did the Austrian economists use?
  • Who tends to lose from inflation?
  • At 3% inflation a year, roughly what is 100 dollars of purchasing power worth after 20 years? (The formula is 100 ÷ 1.03²⁰.)

Then prove it: a 2-question quiz · a challenge. The lesson marks itself complete at 100%.

Inflation is a general rise in prices, which is the same as money buying less. The older definition, from the Austrian economists, is an increase in the supply of money; rising prices are the effect. Milton Friedman put it plainly: "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon."

How it is measured

Governments publish a Consumer Price Index (CPI): the average price of a basket of goods. The Federal Reserve prefers a measure called PCE and aims for 2% a year. Both leave out or adjust things in ways that tend to understate what households experience, which is why your rent feels nothing like 2%.

What it does over time

The chart is illustrative, not a forecast. At 3% a year, 100 dollars of purchasing power becomes about 74 after ten years, 55 after twenty and 41 after thirty. At the official "target" of 2%, you still lose half over 35 years. Since 2000 the dollar has lost more than half its purchasing power; since 1971, around 87%.

Winners and losers

Inflation is a transfer. Borrowers with fixed-rate debt repay with cheaper money. Owners of scarce assets (houses, stocks, gold, bitcoin) see their prices rise with the money supply. People paid in wages and people holding cash savings pay for it. The next lesson explains why the transfer runs in that direction.

What Is Inflation? · Short explainerWatch on YouTube ↗
−87%
the dollar's loss of purchasing power since 1971
MINI CHALLENGECompounding, the wrong way round

At 3% inflation a year, roughly what is 100 dollars of purchasing power worth after 20 years? (The formula is 100 ÷ 1.03²⁰.)

dollars
They're watering down your sweet tea, and how you can stop them · @parachutesBTCWatch on YouTube ↗
CHECK YOURSELF
1/2 Which definition of inflation did the Austrian economists use?
2/2 Who tends to lose from inflation?
pick an answer for each question

Next

Why do asset owners win and wage earners lose? The answer has a name: the Cantillon Effect.

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